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Abstract

Research & Investigations in Sports Medicine

The “Reversal” of the Relative Age Effect

  • Open or CloseTim Swartz B*

    Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University, Canada

    *Corresponding author: Tim Swartz B, Professor, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby BC, Canada

Submission: January 11, 2022;Published: February 02, 2022

DOI: 10.31031/RISM.2022.07.000686

ISSN: 2577-1914
Volume8 Issue3

Abstract

This paper develops a stochastic selection model that describes the processes related to the relative age effect in sports. The model helps to explain why the relative age effect exists. In addition, some distribution theory related to the model allows the quantification and comparison of the expected performance of athletes having early and late birth dates in elite sports. The latter derivation helps to explain the so-called “reversal” of the relative age effect.

Keywords: Relative age effect; Selection bias; Statistical modelling

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