Abstract

COJ Reviews & Research

The Future of the Field of Earthquake Forecasting, New Data Assimilation and Fusion Strategy, towards Timely Earthquake Prediction and Warning

Submission: June 12, 2018; Published: July12, 2018

DOI: 10.31031/COJRR.2018.01.000511

ISSN 2639-0590
Volume1 Issue3

Abstract

In 2016, Ecuador and Italy both experienced deadly earthquakes, with death tolls of over 800 people even with a commonly used earthquake prediction system in place. The seismometer system, which is the current system used in earthquake prediction, provided no help or warning of the devastating earthquakes that occurred. This method only looks at patterns of previous earthquakes to give the probability of an aftershock once the first earthquake occurs. The problem with this system is that it does not offer adequate notice to provide people time to evacuate the area before the initial devastation. There is a dire need for a dependable system that predicts earthquakes and gives people enough time to escape the disaster. Current research shows promising evidence of physical changes in the earth that happen perhaps even days before an earthquake occurs. This amount of notice could give people time to evacuate, and save countless lives. With the assimilation and fusion of electron measurements due to pressure build up in rocks, changes in water chemistry, pre-seismic tremors, magnetic field changes, and changes in air chemistry, the field of earthquake prediction comes closer to a more accurate way of making pre-earthquake disaster predictions with enough notice to possibly save hundreds of thousands of lives..

Keywords: Earthquake Forecasting; Prediction; Disaster; Total Electron Content; Electric and Magnetic Fields

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